Championship, England · Tuesday 3 November, 20:45
Derby vs Norwich: prediction and pick
The model’s pick
The model sees no pick above the norm here — the chances are close to what usually happens. No pick is information too.
Chances according to the model
- Derby33%
- Draw27%
- Norwich41%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.6
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.