DFB Pokal, Germany · Tuesday 27 October, 20:45
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: prediction and pick
Result: 3:2
The model’s pick
Borussia Dortmund (gospodarze)68%(usually 44%)+24hit
Chances according to the model
- Borussia Dortmund68%
- Draw20%
- Werder Bremen11%
Expected goals
2.3 – 0.8
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.