La Liga · Saturday 31 October, 21:00

Barcelona vs Alaves: prediction and pick

Result: 6:1

The model’s pick

Barcelona (gospodarze)87%(usually 44%)+43hit

Chances according to the model

Barcelona87%
Draw9%
Alaves4%

Expected goals

3.6 – 0.8

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.