Premier League, Russia · Sunday 1 November, 15:30

Baltika vs Akron: prediction and pick

Result: 2:1

The model’s pick

1X (Baltika lub remis)84%(usually 69%)+15hit

Chances according to the model

Baltika58%
Draw26%
Akron16%

Expected goals

1.7 – 0.8

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.