Liga Mistrzów · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe: prediction and pick
The model’s pick
The model sees a pick above the norm in this match. The selection, the chance and the edge are shown on Pro and VIP — and for 7 days after you create a free account. See plans
Chances according to the model
- Aston Villa57%
- Draw24%
- Fenerbahçe19%
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.1
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.