Serie A · Saturday 31 October, 20:45

AC Milan vs Inter: prediction and pick

Result: 3:1

The model’s pick

X2 (Inter lub remis)77%(usually 56%)+21miss

Chances according to the model

AC Milan23%
Draw24%
Inter54%

Expected goals

1.3 – 2.1

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.